# p-Values for Equivalency

#### Stefan Kloppenborg

#### 2023-10-27

Source:`vignettes/equivalency-p-values.Rmd`

`equivalency-p-values.Rmd`

## Introduction

The dual acceptance criteria used for composite materials accept or
reject a new lot of material (or a process change) based on the sample
minimum and sample mean from the new lot of material. Acceptance limits
are normally set such that under the null hypothesis, there is an equal
probability of rejecting the lot due to the minimum and rejecting the
lot due to the mean. These acceptance limits are set so that the
probability of rejecting the lot (due to *either* the minimum or
mean) under the null hypothesis is \(\alpha\). If we eliminate the constraint
that there is an equal probability of rejecting a lot due to the minimum
or the mean, there is not longer unique values for the acceptance
limits: instead, we can calculate a p-value from the sample minimum and
the sample mean and compare this p-value with the selected value of
\(\alpha\).

The `cmstatrExt`

package provides functions for computing
acceptance limits, p-values and curves indicating all values of the
minimum and mean that result in the same p-value. This vignette
demonstrates this functionality. The “two-sample” method in which only
the sample statistics for the qualification data are known.

**Caution:** If the true mean of the population from
which the acceptance sample is drawn is higher than the population mean
for the qualification distribution, then using the p-value method here
may declare an acceptance sample as equivalent even if the standard
deviation is larger. This is due to the fact that this statistical test
is a one-sided test. Similarly, if the acceptance population has a much
lower standard deviation than the qualification population, this test
may allow for an undesirable decrease in mean. As such, considerable
judgement is required when using this method.

In this vignette, we’ll use the `cmstatrExt`

package.
We’ll also use the `tidyverse`

package for data manipulation
and graphing. Finally, we’ll use one of the example data sets from the
`cmstatr`

package.

## Example Data

As an example, we’ll use the RTD warp tension strength from the
`carbon.fabric.2`

example data set from the
`cmstatr`

package. This data is as follows:

```
dat <- carbon.fabric.2 %>%
filter(condition == "RTD" & test == "WT")
dat
#> test condition batch panel thickness nplies strength modulus failure_mode
#> 1 WT RTD A 1 0.113 14 129.224 8.733 LAB
#> 2 WT RTD A 1 0.112 14 144.702 8.934 LAT,LWB
#> 3 WT RTD A 1 0.113 14 137.194 8.896 LAB
#> 4 WT RTD A 1 0.113 14 139.728 8.835 LAT,LWB
#> 5 WT RTD A 2 0.113 14 127.286 9.220 LAB
#> 6 WT RTD A 2 0.111 14 129.261 9.463 LAT
#> 7 WT RTD A 2 0.112 14 130.031 9.348 LAB
#> 8 WT RTD B 1 0.111 14 140.038 9.244 LAT,LGM
#> 9 WT RTD B 1 0.111 14 132.880 9.267 LWT
#> 10 WT RTD B 1 0.113 14 132.104 9.198 LAT
#> 11 WT RTD B 2 0.114 14 137.618 9.179 LAT,LAB
#> 12 WT RTD B 2 0.113 14 139.217 9.123 LAB
#> 13 WT RTD B 2 0.113 14 134.912 9.116 LAT
#> 14 WT RTD B 2 0.111 14 141.558 9.434 LAB / LAT
#> 15 WT RTD C 1 0.108 14 150.242 9.451 LAB
#> 16 WT RTD C 1 0.109 14 147.053 9.391 LGM
#> 17 WT RTD C 1 0.111 14 145.001 9.318 LAT,LWB
#> 18 WT RTD C 1 0.113 14 135.686 8.991 LAT / LAB
#> 19 WT RTD C 1 0.112 14 136.075 9.221 LAB
#> 20 WT RTD C 2 0.114 14 143.738 8.803 LAT,LGM
#> 21 WT RTD C 2 0.113 14 143.715 8.893 LAT,LAB
#> 22 WT RTD C 2 0.113 14 147.981 8.974 LGM,LWB
#> 23 WT RTD C 2 0.112 14 148.418 9.118 LAT,LWB
#> 24 WT RTD C 2 0.113 14 135.435 9.217 LAT/LAB
#> 25 WT RTD C 2 0.113 14 146.285 8.920 LWT/LWB
#> 26 WT RTD C 2 0.111 14 139.078 9.015 LAT
#> 27 WT RTD C 2 0.112 14 146.825 9.036 LAT/LWT
#> 28 WT RTD C 2 0.110 14 148.235 9.336 LWB/LAB
```

From this sample, we can calculate the following summary statistics for the strength:

## Acceptance Limits

We can calculate the acceptance factors acceptance sample size of 8
and \(alpha=0.05\) using the
`cmstatrExt`

package as follows:

```
k <- k_equiv_two_sample(0.05, qual$n, 8)
k
#> [1] 2.9462891 0.7972005
```

These factors can be transformed into limits using the following equations:

\[ W_{indiv} = \bar{x}_{qual} - k_1 s_{qual} \\ W_{mean} = \bar{x}_{qual} - k_2 s_{qual} \]

Implementing this in R:

```
acceptance_limits <- qual$mean - k * qual$sd
acceptance_limits
#> [1] 119.8383 134.2717
```

So, if an acceptance sample has a minimum individual less than 119.8 or a mean less than 134.3, we would reject it.

## p-Value

You might ask what happens if there’s one low value in the acceptance sample that’s below the acceptance limit for minimum individual, but the mean is well above the limit. The naive response would be to reject the sample. But, the acceptance limits that we just calculated are based on setting an equal probability of rejecting a sample based on the minimum and the mean under the null hypothesis — there are other pairs of minimum and mean values that have the same p-value as the acceptance limits that we calculated.

In order to use the p-value function from the `cmstatrExt`

package, we need to apply the following transformation:

\[ t_1 = \frac{\bar{x}_{qual} - x_{acceptance\,(1)}}{s_{qual}} \\ t_2 = \frac{\bar{x}_{qual} - \bar{x}_{acceptance}}{s_{qual}} \]

As a demonstration, let’s first calculate the p-value of the acceptance limits. We should get \(p=\alpha\).

```
p_equiv_two_sample(
n = qual$n,
m = 8,
t1 = (qual$mean - acceptance_limits[1]) / qual$sd,
t2 = (qual$mean - acceptance_limits[2]) / qual$sd
)
#> [1] 0.05003139
```

This value is very close to \(\alpha=0.05\) — within expected numeric precision.

Now, let’s consider the case where the sample minimum is 116 and the mean is 138. The sample minimum is below the acceptance limit (116 < 120), but the sample mean is well above the acceptance limit (138 > 134). Let’s calculate the p-value for this case:

```
p_equiv_two_sample(
n = qual$n,
m = 8,
t1 = (qual$mean - 116) / qual$sd,
t2 = (qual$mean - 138) / qual$sd
)
#> [1] 0.2771053
```

Since this value is well above the selected value of \(\alpha=0.05\), we would accept this sample. This sort of analysis can be useful during site- or process-equivalency programs, or for MRB activities.

## Curves of Constant p-Values

The `cmstatrExt`

package provides a function that produces
a `data.frame`

containing values of \(t_1\) and \(t_2\) that result in the same p-value. We
can create such a `data.frame`

for p-values of 0.05 as
follows:

```
curve <- iso_equiv_two_sample(qual$n, 8, 0.05, 4, 1.5, 10)
curve
#> t1 t2
#> 1 4.000000 0.6876226
#> 2 3.870890 0.6892186
#> 3 3.742796 0.6924106
#> 4 3.616481 0.6971987
#> 5 3.492200 0.7027848
#> 6 3.372239 0.7115630
#> 7 3.258124 0.7235332
#> 8 3.152269 0.7394934
#> 9 3.056580 0.7594437
#> 10 2.975250 0.7849802
#> 11 2.880451 0.8321028
#> 12 2.825808 0.8732404
#> 13 2.782601 0.9266275
#> 14 2.749561 0.9895908
#> 15 2.726687 1.0602149
#> 16 2.713980 1.1365848
#> 17 2.706355 1.2156679
#> 18 2.701272 1.2961076
#> 19 2.701272 1.3776646
#> 20 2.698730 1.4591417
```

We can plot this curve using `ggplot2`

, which is part of
the `tidyverse`

package:

When you plot this, make sure to use `geom_path`

and not
`geom_line`

. The former will plot the points in the order
given; the latter will plot the points in ascending order of the
`x`

variable, which can cause problems in the vertical
portion of the graph.

Let’s overlay the acceptance limits calculated by the
`k_equiv_two_sample`

function as well as the values of
`t_1`

and `t_2`

from the sample that we discussed
in the previous section.

```
curve %>%
ggplot(aes(x = t1, y = t2)) +
geom_path() +
geom_hline(yintercept = k[2], color = "red") +
geom_vline(xintercept = k[1], color = "red") +
geom_point(data = data.frame(
t1 = (qual$mean - 116) / qual$sd,
t2 = (qual$mean - 138) / qual$sd
),
shape = "*", size = 5) +
ggtitle("Acceptance criteria for alpha=0.05")
```

Or better yet, we can transform this back into engineering units:

```
curve %>%
mutate(x_min = qual$mean - t1 * qual$sd,
x_mean = qual$mean - t2 * qual$sd) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = x_min, y = x_mean)) +
geom_path() +
geom_hline(yintercept = acceptance_limits[2], color = "red") +
geom_vline(xintercept = acceptance_limits[1], color = "red") +
geom_point(data = data.frame(
x_min = 116,
x_mean = 138
),
shape = "*", size = 5) +
ggtitle("Acceptance criteria for alpha=0.05")
```